Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.668617 1.813454 1.967180 2.142848 2.338471 2.550115 2.797073
2026-02-08 1.429459 1.624117 1.842517 2.107040 2.420526 2.782367 3.234788
2026-02-15 1.281151 1.503382 1.763086 2.091646 2.499992 2.995777 3.650931
2026-02-22 1.200130 1.446351 1.744010 2.134714 2.640553 3.282483 4.173707
2026-03-01 1.112141 1.369463 1.689228 2.121867 2.701440 3.465041 4.571339
2026-03-08 1.031900 1.294025 1.627488 2.090592 2.729695 3.600062 4.910150
2026-03-15 0.949125 1.208373 1.544693 2.022143 2.697918 3.644810 5.118385
2026-03-22 0.905677 1.170949 1.522034 2.031866 2.772711 3.842339 5.567106
2026-03-29 0.875714 1.149099 1.517973 2.065591 2.882203 4.096859 6.126871
2026-04-05 0.845853 1.125061 1.508538 2.089598 2.977302 4.335397 6.684321
2026-04-12 0.815644 1.098424 1.493194 2.102799 3.055400 4.551991 7.226657
2026-04-19 0.783979 1.067727 1.469769 2.101472 3.109422 4.732658 7.724737
2026-04-26 0.741131 1.019353 1.418733 2.055939 3.091720 4.797220 8.030323
2026-05-03 0.705899 0.980376 1.379493 2.026074 3.096841 4.899975 8.417517
2026-05-10 0.677608 0.950204 1.351704 2.012162 3.126625 5.046644 8.904095
2026-05-17 0.665093 0.942931 1.358183 2.053338 3.252057 5.372896 9.784407
2026-05-24 0.640778 0.916448 1.333321 2.041123 3.283330 5.529525 10.338301
2026-05-31 0.614151 0.885178 1.299301 2.011324 3.280773 5.621740 10.766536
2026-06-07 0.581444 0.843107 1.246179 1.946078 3.209525 5.576065 10.887554
2026-06-14 0.566822 0.828790 1.236898 1.955347 3.275061 5.801968 11.645602
2026-06-21 0.557778 0.822850 1.240789 1.987497 3.385193 6.126394 12.678353
2026-06-28 0.547331 0.814157 1.239615 2.010377 3.479025 6.426040 13.697993
2026-07-05 0.535443 0.802596 1.233033 2.022959 3.553451 6.691657 14.674799